Edwards, Sebastian. 2023. The Chile Project: The Story of the Chicago Boys and the Downfall of Neoliberalism. Princeton University Press.
This book provides a history, aimed at an intelligent lay (i.e., non-economist) reader, of the "Chicago Boys," the group of Chilean economists whose market-oriented program was adopted by Augusto Pinochet’s dictatorship following the military coup that deposed the elected president Salvador Allende. Edwards is well-positioned to tell the story, as he is Chilean, an economist and long-time faculty member at UCLA, and knows most of the players in the story including the Chicago Boys, without being a Chicago Boy himself.
The first thing I learned from the book was that Allende's ideology lay further to the left than I had imagined. The second thing I learned was that he was not only very far to the left but also apparently very far from competence. Edwards shares a derisive remark made in private by French philosopher Michel Foucault blaming the "Marxists" for the coup and its aftermath as well as a statement by left-leaning development economist Paul Rosenstein-Rodan that "Salvador Allende died not because he was a socialist, but because he was an incompetent ... It is not inherent in socialism to be inefficient." We can debate the second bit of that sentence while still recognizing the very large difference between thoughtful socialists who understand some economics and silly socialists who do not. The third thing I learned is that the reforms moved along in fits and starts, and that most of the economic growth they engendered actually took place under the early center-left post-dictatorship administrations, which retained the reforms while attempting to soften their effects via a more generous welfare state.
The broad arc of the book addresses the question of how the largely successful reforms of the Chicago Boys, and the economic growth that eventually followed from them (and which moved Chile to the top of the Latin American economic league table), ended up engendering an intense left-wing backlash both against specific reforms and against "neoliberalism" more generally. Edwards identifies four main factors, two involving specific policy design choices and two broader failures of imagination.
The first policy mistake was setting the contribution rate for the private pension accounts in the compulsory-savings scheme too low, leading to a lot of unhappiness decades later when Chileans discovered that their realized pension benefits did not match the promises made when the system began. The second was the failure of policy design in the university sector, where the setup allowed nominally non-profit but factually for-profit post-secondary institutions, whose troubles in Chile mirror the issues that arose with explicitly for-profit institutions in the US.
The first broader failure of imagination was the failure to grow a true culture of liberalism (without the neo). This sort of culture-building exercise is not something economists train to do, and requires the patient building of institutions and the cultivation of liberal scholars and activists outside of economics. In a strong liberal culture, the lure of excessive state power may lessen on both the left and the right. The second broader failure concerns a lack of attention to both the perception and the reality of socio-economic mobility in a society with a rigid pre-existing class structure. I agree with Edwards that in order to support reforms that increase the size of the aggregate economy, the broader public needs to feel like they have a stake in them, which they may not if family background still largely determines outcomes.
The book notes but does not dwell on the many non-economic evils of the Pinochet regime. It also discusses but does not dwell on the question of what various Chicago Boys knew about those evils and when they knew it. The question of when doing good within an evil regime represents the right choice always remains in the mind of the reader, but this book does not aim to answer it. Instead, it aims to explain the history behind the recent backlash against the reforms, a backlash that ultimately led to the failed attempt to replace the Pinochet-era constitution with a thoroughly left-wing one. That is enough for one book.
I learned much from this book both about the history of the Chicago Boys and about Chile and its history more generally. I valued Edwards's sympathetic but critical perspective on the Chicago Boys and their reforms. The book is very much worth reading if one is interested in the episode and in lessons for liberalism in other contexts.
I bought this on Abebooks for an online book club of aging Chicago economists that I ended up not being able to attend due to a conflict.